Robert Shapiro Headshot

Robert Shapiro

Wallace S. Sayre Professor of Government and Professor of International and Public Affairs; Vice Dean of SIPA

Robert Shapiro Headshot

International Affairs Building, Room 730


Personal Details

Robert Y. Shapiro is a professor and former chair of the Department of Political Science at Columbia University, and he served as acting director of Columbia’s Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy (ISERP) during 2008–2009. He is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. He received a Distinguished Columbia Faculty Award in 2012 and in 2010 the Outstanding Achievement Award of the New York Chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (NYAAPOR).

Shapiro specializes in American politics with research and teaching interests in public opinion, policymaking, political leadership, the mass media, and applications of statistical methods. He has taught at Columbia since 1982 after receiving his degree and serving as a study director at the National Opinion Research Center (University of Chicago).

He is co-author of The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in Americans' Policy Preferences, with Benjamin Page (University of Chicago Press, 1992) and Politicians Don't Pander: Political Manipulation and the Loss of Democratic Responsiveness, with Lawrence Jacobs (University of Chicago Press, 2000). His most recent books are The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media, edited with Lawrence R. Jacobs (Oxford University Press, 2011) and Selling Fear: Counterterrorism, the Media, and Public Opinion, with Brigittte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon (University of Chicago Press, 2011). He is also coauthor or coeditor of several other books and has published numerous articles in major academic journals.

Shapiro served for many years as editor of Public Opinion Quarterly’s "The Polls–Trends" section, and is currently chair of the journal’s Advisory Committee. He also serves on the editorial boards of Political Science Quarterly, Presidential Studies Quarterly, Public Opinion Quarterly, and Critical Review, and is the Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research. He has been President of NYAAPOR and Councilor-at-Large in national AAPOR.

His current research examines partisan polarization and ideological politics in the United States, as well as other topics concerned with public opinion and policymaking.

Education

  • PhD in Political Science, University of Chicago
  • MA in Policy Studies, University of Chicago
  • MA in Political Science, University of Chicago
  • BS in Political Science, MIT

Honors and Awards

  • Vice President, Academy of Political Science
  • Bruce E. Gronbeck Political Communication Research Book Award, 2014
  • Distinguished Columbia Faculty Award, Columbia University, 2012
  • Outstanding Achievement Award, New York Chapter, American Association for Public Opinion Research (NYAAPOR), 2010

Research And Publications

Oct 2017

Oxford Handbook of American Political Development

Robert Shapiro

Joint US-Korea Expert Analysis on the US Presidential Election Series (미대선 한미전문가 공동분석)

Jun 2016

Munhwa Ilbo

Robert Shapiro

James Kim

In The Media

Democratic Resilience

Columbia political scientist Robert Shapiro noted that Trump-backed candidates' primary success may not translate to general election victories — a pattern Republicans have seen play out before.

Jun 09 2026
Talking Points Memo
Democratic Resilience

Robert Y. Shapiro told Newsweek: "The concern about Independent voters is not very relevant to primaries but is a danger sign for Republicans in the midterm elections if they hold Republican candidates accountable for Trump's blunders so far. If this carries forth to the next presidential election, in 2029 the Democrats will likely control the presidency and both houses of Congress."

Jun 03 2026
Newsweek
Democratic Resilience

Columbia University professor Robert Y. Shapiro told Newsweek that, "Rubio has clearly overshadowed Vance on the Iran war and foreign policy. And outperformed as a national leader, leaving Vance behind. And we know that Trump's effort at regime change was not a priority for Vance to say the least. It is far too early for them to declare their candidacy. And they will be taking their cues from Trump."

May 28 2026
Newsweek
Democratic Resilience

Robert Y. Shapiro, professor at Columbia University, told Newsweek: "This is Mike Johnson continuing to do the president's bidding. What is unclear is whether he genuinely supports the president on everything under the sun, which includes where things are in the Iran war now, or whether he is fearful of Trump's wrath in maintaining his political stature."

May 22 2026
Newsweek
Democratic Resilience

Robert Y. Shapiro told Newsweek: "Primary wins reflect Trump's influence on and support from Trump's base, among whom his approval rating is very high and makes a difference. But his approval among the rest of the electorate is abysmal, and this can be fully decisive in the upcoming midterm elections.

May 21 2026
Newsweek