Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Jeffrey Shrader
Associate Professor of International and Public Affairs
Personal Details
Focus area: environmental economics
Jeffrey Shrader is an Associate Professor (without tenure) at SIPA. His work focuses on the role of expectations and forecasts in helping individuals prepare for changing environmental and economic conditions, with a particular focus on the effects of climate change. This work helps policymakers understand the benefits and limitations of information-based policy interventions and sheds light on the total economic costs of environmental changes.
Prior to joining SIPA, he was the 2017–2018 Economic Fellow at the Institute for Policy Integrity at New York University School of Law. At the Institute, he worked to improve federal and state decision-making related to climate, environmental, and energy policies. From 2023 to 2024, he was a Senior Advisor in the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, a component of the U.S. Office of Management and Budget. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University of California, San Diego and a B.A. in economics and mathematics from Columbia University.
Education
- PhD, UC San Diego
- MA, UC San Diego
- BA, Columbia University
Honors and Awards
- Ben Horne Memorial Prize
- Clive Granger Research Fellowship
- NOAA Sea Grant
- NSF Graduate Research Fellowship
- WFA Award for the Best Paper on Financial Institutions
- Phi Beta Kappa
- Columbia University Departmental Honors in Economics
Research And Publications
Journal of Economic Literature
Science Advances
Management Science
Time Use and Labor Productivity: The Returns to Sleep (forthcoming)
Review of Economics and Statistics
In The Media
Weather forecasts in low-income countries are about 20 years behind those in high-income countries, worsening economic losses and increasing vulnerability to climate-related risks, says associate professor Jeffrey Shrader.
Andrew Wilson, Danny Bressler, and Jeffrey Shrader reshape our understanding of heat vulnerability: their study in Mexico reveals people under 35 — especially outdoor workers — bear the greatest burden of rising temperatures.
Researchers, including SIPA's Jeffrey Shrader, said the findings challenge the conventional belief that the elderly population are especially vulnerable to extreme heat on its head.
Jeffrey Shrader and co-authors found in study that making forecasts 50% more accurate would save more lives and have a net value that’s nearly twice the annual budget of the National Weather Service.
Jeffrey Shrader said “when the forecasts underplayed the risk, even small forecast errors led to more deaths.”